Key Results
LUCI’s Wildfire Risk Map flagged the Mariapeel region as a high-risk zone three days before a 41-hectare wildfire broke out in 2022.
Trained solely on pre-fire historical data, LUCI still pinpointed the exact area of the future wildfire, proving its value in wildfire prediction.
LUCI’s wildfire risk maps outperformed widely-used wildfire indices, which missed the Mariapeel region.
This breakthrough highlights LUCI’s ability to deliver highly accurate wildfire risk maps, enabling effective land management and improving early warning systems and emergency preparedness.
Wildfire Prediction
Wildfires pose a serious threat to ecosystems, property, and human lives. Accurately predicting the location of these wildfires is a critical challenge for many countries, especially as climate change increases their frequency and intensity.
Traditional models, such as the CFWI (Canadian Fire Weather Index), have long been used to forecast fire risk, but they often fail to pinpoint high-risk areas with precise geographic detail. For example, the CFWI was not able to highlight the specific area where the Mariapeel wildfire occurred in the Netherlands, potentially limiting the preparedness and response efforts in the region.
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LUCI - Wildfire Risk Map
MEJOR Technologies' solution LUCI, a machine-learning-based model designed to determine wildfire risk with unprecedented accuracy and spatial resolution.
Three days before the fire, LUCI flagged the exact location of the future wildfire as the highest-risk area in the Netherlands. This demonstrates the power of LUCI’s predictive capabilities, offering a cutting-edge solution for authorities to better prepare for and mitigate wildfire threats. By utilising advanced analytics and machine learning, LUCI delivers a more localised, precise assessment of fire risks, providing a significant improvement over traditional models.
Location of the wildfire according to EFFIS*2 (left) & LUCI Wildfire Risk Map (right)
Contact
With LUCI’s wildfire risk mapping capabilities, you can take control of the situation and make the best decisions for you before it escalates into a disaster.
Do you want to assess the risk of wildfires on your land? Contact us now!
Citations:
European Forest Fire Information System. (2022). Fire Weather Index map for 31-08-2022. Retrieved from https://effis.jrc.ec.europa.eu/
Groenewoud, A. (2022, September 04). Blussen natuurbrand Mariapeel in Limburg zal nog dagen duren. Nu.nl. https://www.nu.nl/binnenland/6221872/blussen-natuurbrand-mariapeel-in-limburg-zal-nog-dagen-duren.html?referrer=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.google.com%2F
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